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BUSINESS·24 DEC 2021·3 min read

Leading a Business Through a Bad Quarter

Anyone can run a business in a good year. What separates outcomes is what gets decided in a bad quarter, and most of it comes down to three habits.

Position as at August 2026

Habit 1. Keep looking

Businesses in difficulty stop producing management accounts.

It is understandable and it is the worst possible response. The numbers feel like bad news, so nobody produces them, so decisions get made on feel at exactly the moment precision matters most.

Keep reconciling. Keep the 13-week forecast. The information is worth more when conditions are moving, not less.

Habit 2. Tell people something

Silence from an owner is filled by staff with worse assumptions than the truth.

You do not have to share everything. You do have to say something, and repeat it, because people do not absorb difficult information the first time.

The same applies outward. Suppliers told in advance usually agree terms. Suppliers who discover it through a failed payment do not. Banks respond considerably better to early notice than to discovery.

Habit 3. Decide, and write down why

Bad quarters produce paralysis, because every option has a visible downside.

Waiting is also a decision, and it usually costs more than it appears to. Ask what waiting costs in money before choosing it.

When you decide, write down what you expected to happen. In six months you will not remember, and the written expectation is how you learn whether your judgment was good.

The decisions that separate outcomes

Cutting deliberately rather than evenly. Even cuts remove as much of what works as what does not.

Protecting what rebuilds slowly. Marketing restarts in a week. Experienced staff and customer relationships take years, and they are cut first because the line is large.

Not discounting reflexively. Check the margin first. A discount that takes work below the cost of serving it makes cash worse, not better.

Not funding operations from tax money. It converts a commercial problem into a compliance problem with a federal authority, and the second is harder to fix.

The failure that repeats

Owners protect their own position and cut everyone else's, then wonder why the people who remain are disengaged.

Staff notice what gets protected. Whatever you say afterwards, that is the message they took.

What good looks like afterwards

The near miss is the cheapest information you will ever get.

Most businesses survive something, feel relieved and change nothing.

One hour after it passes. What broke, what held, what we are changing, who owns it, by when.

The uncomfortable part of the job

Sometimes the answer is that a line should close, a price must rise, or a person is not right for the role.

Delaying those decisions does not make them go away. It makes them more expensive and removes the choice about timing.

Where we fit

We produce the numbers that make these decisions decidable. Cash runway, margin by line, what genuinely stops if a cost stops. Send your management accounts.

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